Lecco 0-3 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Feb 2024

Lecco
0-3 HT 0-2
Como
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 33% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.13
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
16%
6.97
X/2
19%
4.64
X/X
12%
4.48
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.88
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 48%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
1.58/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.37
-22% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
27.9 Crosses 8.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Como
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.44 xG 0.98
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
263 Passes 385
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.11.2023 Como Como 0-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTB
07.02.2021 Lecco Lecco 4-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTC
11.10.2020 Como Como 0-3 HT 0-2 Lecco Lecco İTC
27.10.2019 Como Como 1-1 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
0-3
AWAY Como
0.17 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
327 Passes 351
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como swept aside Lecco 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Como as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Lecco had 49% of the ball to Como's 51%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.17 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lecco had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lecco and 0.25 for Como.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Como?

Lecco 0-3 Como in the Italy - Serie B on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated an Como win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lecco 29%, draw 28%, Como 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Como), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Como) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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