Sampdoria 1-2 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Feb 2024

Sampdoria
1-2 HT 1-1
Cremonese
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Sampdoria vs Cremonese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.68
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.38
6+ Goals
11%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.91
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
10%
5.45
X/2
16%
5.49
X/X
12%
3.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
33.0
2/2
15%
3.95
2/X
9%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 33.0 — our 10% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sampdoria v Cremonese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 38%
-19% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +21%
1.46/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.95
-16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
20.2 Crosses 19.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Sampdoria vs Cremonese Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Cremonese
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.44 xG 1.66
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
339 Passes 294
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
08.04.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-3 HT 1-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTA
24.10.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA

Sampdoria 1-2 Cremonese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria
1-2
AWAY Cremonese
0.98 xG 1.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
304 Passes 441
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sampdoria vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese nicked a narrow win over Sampdoria 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cremonese found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sampdoria had 42% of the ball to Cremonese's 58%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.98 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sampdoria and 1.33 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Sampdoria vs Cremonese?

Sampdoria 1-2 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria 31%, draw 29%, Cremonese 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✓ BTTS Yes
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