Catanzaro 2-0 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.79
6+ Goals
10%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
18%
4.28
X/2
8%
7.48
X/X
15%
3.83
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
13%
6.17
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.2pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.34/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.20
+13% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
20.0 Crosses 15.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 Passes 304
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-2 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.03.2022 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
30.10.2021 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 2-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
21.03.2021 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
29.11.2020 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
09.03.2020 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
2-0
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.44 xG 1.35
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
293 Passes 512
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 21
7 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catanzaro got the better of FC Bari 1908 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Catanzaro as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Catanzaro had 38% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 62%, shots finished 7-20, expected goals 1.44 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Catanzaro and 1.33 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs FC Bari 1908?

Catanzaro 2-0 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 43%, draw 30%, FC Bari 1908 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catanzaro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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