Parma 1-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Feb 2024

Parma
1-1 HT 1-1
Cosenza Calcio
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Parma vs Cosenza Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.95
X/1
14%
3.94
X/2
10%
9.43
X/X
12%
5.2
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
12%
7.31
2/X
5%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Parma v Cosenza Calcio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.43/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.37
+1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.3 Crosses 18.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Parma vs Cosenza Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.80 xG 1.06
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
378 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTB
28.01.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Parma Parma İTB
28.08.2022 Parma Parma 1-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
02.04.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-3 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTB
21.11.2021 Parma Parma 1-1 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
25.11.2020 Parma Parma 2-1 HT 2-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTK

Parma 1-1 Cosenza Calcio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
1-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.64 xG 0.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
377 Passes 414
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parma vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma and Cosenza Calcio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Parma at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Parma had 48% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 52%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.64 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parma and 0.67 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Parma vs Cosenza Calcio?

Parma 1-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Parma 46%, draw 26%, Cosenza Calcio 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Parma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
27 Feb 2024
20:15 Ascoli vs Brescia Analysis →
20:15 Reggiana vs Südtirol Analysis →
22:30 Catanzaro vs FC Bari 1908 Analysis →
22:30 Sampdoria vs Cremonese Analysis →
22:30 Lecco vs Como Analysis →
22:30 Palermo vs Ternana Analysis →