Modena vs Mantova Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Modena v Mantova — Team-Based Signals
Modena vs Mantova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Mantova
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Modena
İTC
1-1
HT 0-1
Modena
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Mantova
İTB
1-0
HT 0-0
Mantova
İTB
Modena 3-1 Mantova — Actual Match Statistics
Modena beat Mantova 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Modena as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Modena had 28% of the ball to Mantova's 72%, shots finished 8-26, expected goals 1.67 to 1.48.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Modena and 0.50 for Mantova.
What was the final score of Modena vs Mantova?
Modena 3-1 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Modena vs Mantova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Modena 45%, draw 29%, Mantova 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modena), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.