Mantova 0-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 38% vs market 32.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.07
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
12%
6.8
X/2
16%
5.7
X/X
18%
4.19
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.93
2/X
9%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 42%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.19/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.01
-8% / +136% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
15.0 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Modena
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2021 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
16.11.2020 Mantova Mantova 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTC
08.05.2010 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTB
12.12.2009 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
09.05.2009 Modena Modena 1-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
13.12.2008 Mantova Mantova 2-2 HT 2-1 Modena Modena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
0-0
AWAY Modena
1.12 xG 0.56
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
434 Passes 228
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova and Modena fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Mantova had 62% of the ball to Modena's 38%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.12 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mantova and 1.00 for Modena.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Modena?

Mantova 0-0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Mantova 31%, draw 33%, Modena 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Modena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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