Brescia 1-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Nov 2024

Brescia
1-1 HT 1-1
FC Bari 1908
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Brescia vs FC Bari 1908 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.75
Over
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.74
No
52%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
30%
3.04
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5
22%
3.93
6+
9%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.39
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.9
X/1
17%
6.49
X/2
15%
6.32
X/X
14%
4.52
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.22
2/X
7%
13.9
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Brescia v FC Bari 1908 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 The Market 39%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +14%
1.27/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.12
+17% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.6 Crosses 14.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Brescia vs FC Bari 1908 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.94 xG 1.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 Passes 297
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
29.10.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
25.02.2023 Brescia Brescia 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
01.10.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 6-2 HT 3-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
24.03.2018 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 3-0 HT 2-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
23.10.2017 Brescia Brescia 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB

Brescia 1-1 FC Bari 1908 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
1-1
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.54 xG 1.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
281 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Brescia vs FC Bari 1908
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Brescia and FC Bari 1908 traded blows to a 1-1 standstill.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (55%) came home.

Under the surface, FC Bari 1908 saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.54 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Brescia against 2.67 for FC Bari 1908.

Brescia vs FC Bari 1908 Result & Final Score

Brescia 1-1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Brescia vs FC Bari 1908 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Brescia 36%, draw 30%, FC Bari 1908 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brescia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brescia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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