FC Bari 1908 2-0 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 28% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.65
X/1
21%
3.82
X/2
10%
10.4
X/X
9%
5.5
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
8%
8.13
2/X
7%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.66/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.27
+4% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.0 Crosses 17.9
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brescia
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.52 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
308 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2023 Brescia Brescia 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
25.02.2023 Brescia Brescia 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
01.10.2022 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 6-2 HT 3-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
24.03.2018 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 3-0 HT 2-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
23.10.2017 Brescia Brescia 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
27.02.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
2-0
AWAY Brescia
0.93 xG 0.30
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 0
12 Corners 1
265 Passes 349
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 7
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 beat Brescia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Bari 1908 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 45% of the ball to Brescia's 55%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 0.93 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.83 for Brescia.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Brescia?

FC Bari 1908 2-0 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 49%, draw 26%, Brescia 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Bari 1908), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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