FeralpiSalo 0-1 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 May 2024

FeralpiSalo
0-1 HT 0-1
Ternana
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

FeralpiSalo vs Ternana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
14%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.47
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
20.9
1/X
4%
14.4
X/1
10%
9.35
X/2
13%
4.25
X/X
7%
5.83
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.18
2/X
9%
13.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.9 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
53%
Away Win
53%
-0.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FeralpiSalo v Ternana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 57%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.22/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.02
+25% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.2 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

FeralpiSalo vs Ternana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ternana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.95 xG 0.93
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
294 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Ternana Ternana 2-1 HT 1-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTB

FeralpiSalo 0-1 Ternana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
0-1
AWAY Ternana
0.47 xG 0.87
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
375 Passes 311
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana squeezed past FeralpiSalo 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 55% of the ball to Ternana's 45%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.47 to 0.87.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs Ternana?

FeralpiSalo 0-1 Ternana in the Italy - Serie B on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 27%, draw 20%, Ternana 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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