Lecco 2-3 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 May 2024

Lecco
2-3 HT 1-3
Modena
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Lecco vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 33% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.25
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
10%
7.26
X/2
19%
4.58
X/X
17%
4.72
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.74
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.7pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lecco v Modena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 45%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.17/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.94
-33% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
26.7 Crosses 18.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2

Lecco vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Modena
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.80 xG 1.80
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
139 Passes 355
58% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Modena Modena 0-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTB

Lecco 2-3 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
2-3
AWAY Modena
1.36 xG 1.56
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
349 Passes 343
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena squeezed past Lecco 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Modena as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecco had 51% of the ball to Modena's 49%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.56.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Modena?

Lecco 2-3 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lecco 29%, draw 28%, Modena 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Modena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Modena) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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