Reggiana 1-1 Parma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 May 2024

Reggiana
1-1 HT 1-0
Parma
📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Reggiana vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.5
No
55%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
4.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
20%
2.83
6+ Goals
9%
7.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.75 — our 34% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.9
1/2
5%
22.7
1/X
8%
12.1
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
7.69
X/2
17%
5.04
X/X
11%
5.19
2/1
4%
31.5
2/2
21%
2.68
2/X
6%
11.75
Value flag · X/1 at 7.69 — our 18% vs market 9.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
62%
-17.4pp
55%
BTTS No
38%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reggiana v Parma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Parma EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.16/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.12
-13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
17.0 Crosses 11.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Reggiana vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Parma
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.49 xG 1.02
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
263 Passes 440
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 39
14 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Parma Parma 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB

Reggiana 1-1 Parma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
1-1
AWAY Parma
0.78 xG 2.06
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
424 Passes 414
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 35
13 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Parma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana and Parma couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Parma at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Reggiana had 51% of the ball to Parma's 49%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 0.78 to 2.06.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Parma?

Reggiana 1-1 Parma in the Italy - Serie B on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Parma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 32%, draw 26%, Parma 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Parma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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