Como 1-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 May 2024

📅10/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.61
Over 2.5
47%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.76
No
59%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
5.86
2-3 Goals
37%
2.05
4-5 Goals
23%
2.59
6+ Goals
11%
5.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.86 — our 29% vs market 12.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
21.2
X/1
18%
3.63
X/2
8%
19.0
X/X
10%
8.43
2/1
5%
20.7
2/2
6%
13.6
2/X
7%
21.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-14.1pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.0pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
35%
+18.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
65%
-18.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.7pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 14%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.70/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.42
+14% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
21.6 Crosses 16.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.68 xG 0.64
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
360 Passes 243
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 1-2 HT 1-1 Como Como İTB
25.02.2023 Como Como 5-1 HT 2-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
30.09.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 3-1 HT 2-1 Como Como İTB
20.02.2022 Como Como 2-1 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
21.09.2021 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
08.04.2015 Como Como 1-4 HT 0-2 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
1-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
2.38 xG 0.57
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
363 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 8
37 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Como vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como and Cosenza Calcio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Como at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Como had 57% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 43%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 2.38 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Como and 2.00 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of Como vs Cosenza Calcio?

Como 1-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Como 57%, draw 23%, Cosenza Calcio 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Como), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Como) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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