Ascoli vs Pisa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ascoli v Pisa — Team-Based Signals
Ascoli vs Pisa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Ascoli
İTB
2-1
HT 0-0
Pisa
İTB
2-0
HT 1-0
Ascoli
İTB
2-0
HT 2-0
Pisa
İTB
1-1
HT 1-1
Ascoli
İTB
0-2
HT 0-2
Pisa
İTB
Ascoli 2-1 Pisa — Actual Match Statistics
Ascoli squeezed past Pisa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ascoli as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Ascoli had 28% of the ball to Pisa's 72%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.62 to 1.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pisa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ascoli and 1.17 for Pisa.
What was the final score of Ascoli vs Pisa?
Ascoli 2-1 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Pisa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 44%, draw 29%, Pisa 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.