Spezia vs Venezia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spezia v Venezia — Team-Based Signals
Spezia vs Venezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTB
2-2
HT 1-0
Venezia
İTK
1-0
HT 0-0
Venezia
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Spezia
İTA
0-1
HT 0-1
Venezia
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
Spezia
İTB
Spezia 2-1 Venezia — Actual Match Statistics
Spezia squeezed past Venezia 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Spezia made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Spezia had 46% of the ball to Venezia's 54%, shots finished 28-10, expected goals 3.03 to 0.73 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Spezia's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Spezia and 0.83 for Venezia.
What was the final score of Spezia vs Venezia?
Spezia 2-1 Venezia in the Italy - Serie B on 10/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spezia vs Venezia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spezia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Spezia 38%, draw 28%, Venezia 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spezia), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.