Hamburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hamburg v RB Leipzig — Team-Based Signals
Hamburg vs RB Leipzig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hamburg 1-2 RB Leipzig — Actual Match Statistics
RB Leipzig found just enough to beat Hamburg 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) came home.
Under the surface, RB Leipzig saw more of the ball, 58% to 42%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.57 to 3.09 — on chances created, RB Leipzig won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Hamburg against 2.00 for RB Leipzig.
Hamburg vs RB Leipzig Result & Final Score
Hamburg 1 - 2 RB Leipzig in the Germany - Bundesliga on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hamburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 25%, draw 23%, RB Leipzig 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.