RB Leipzig 2-1 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 18 Oct 2025

RB Leipzig
2-1 HT 1-0
Hamburg
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

RB Leipzig vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
66%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.96
Over
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.48
No
45%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
22%
6.69
2-3
39%
2.16
4-5
26%
2.42
6+
13%
4.68
Value flag · 0-1 at 6.69 — our 22% vs market 10.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.75
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
4%
15.55
X/1
19%
4.36
X/2
5%
12.85
X/X
9%
8.04
2/1
10%
17.6
2/2
4%
8.86
2/X
6%
17.25
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

RB Leipzig v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg The Market 21%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
2.01/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.38
+6% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +105%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.5 Crosses 18.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

RB Leipzig vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hamburg
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.60 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
349 Passes 268
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.10.2022 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 4-0 HT 2-0 Hamburg Hamburg AFK
23.04.2019 Hamburg Hamburg 1-3 HT 1-1 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AFK
27.01.2018 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-1 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
08.09.2017 Hamburg Hamburg 0-2 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1
11.02.2017 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0-3 HT 0-2 Hamburg Hamburg AL1
17.09.2016 Hamburg Hamburg 0-4 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig AL1

RB Leipzig 2-1 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig
2-1
AWAY Hamburg
1.25 xG 1.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
393 Passes 446
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW RB Leipzig vs Hamburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

RB Leipzig shaded a tight game against Hamburg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had RB Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, RB Leipzig had 47% of the ball to Hamburg's 53%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.25 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for RB Leipzig and 0.83 for Hamburg.

RB Leipzig vs Hamburg Result & Final Score

RB Leipzig 2-1 Hamburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

RB Leipzig vs Hamburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig 66%, draw 19%, Hamburg 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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