Bayern Münih vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Bayern Münih v Borussia Dortmund — Team-Based Signals
Bayern Münih vs Borussia Dortmund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Bayern Münih 2-1 Borussia Dortmund — Actual Match Statistics
Bayern Münih nicked a narrow win over Borussia Dortmund 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) came home.
Under the surface, Bayern Münih had 61% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund's 39%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.48 to 1.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.50 for Borussia Dortmund.
Bayern Münih vs Borussia Dortmund Result & Final Score
Bayern Münih 2-1 Borussia Dortmund in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Bayern Münih vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 64%, draw 17%, Borussia Dortmund 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.