Köln 1-1 Augsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 18 Oct 2025

Köln
1-1 HT 0-0
Augsburg
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Köln vs Augsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.29
Over
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.65
2-3
38%
1.91
4-5
26%
2.75
6+
12%
7.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.64
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.04
X/2
12%
7.63
X/X
11%
5.72
2/1 ✗
8%
21.15
2/2
16%
5.01
2/X
5%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.15 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Köln v Augsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Augsburg The Market 32%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
2.04/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.74
+5% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
29.0 Crosses 17.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Köln vs Augsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Augsburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.69 xG 1.44
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 246
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Köln Köln AL1
04.11.2023 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 1-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
08.04.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 1-3 HT 1-2 Köln Köln AL1
16.10.2022 Köln Köln 3-2 HT 0-1 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
30.04.2022 Augsburg Augsburg 1-4 HT 0-2 Köln Köln AL1
10.12.2021 Köln Köln 0-2 HT 0-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1

Köln 1-1 Augsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
1-1
AWAY Augsburg
0.58 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
377 Passes 283
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Köln vs Augsburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Köln and Augsburg traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

A gentle 44% lean on Köln didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The market had leaned harder still (1.92, ~52%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. The goals card split: both teams to score (58%) came in, over 2.5 goals (56%) didn't.

On the day, Köln had 56% of the ball to Augsburg's 44%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.58 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Köln and 1.33 for Augsburg.

Köln vs Augsburg Result & Final Score

Köln 1-1 Augsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Köln vs Augsburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Köln 44%, draw 22%, Augsburg 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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