Augsburg vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities
Augsburg v Köln — Team-Based Signals
Augsburg vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Augsburg 1-1 Köln — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Augsburg and Köln with a point apiece.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Augsburg at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals card split: both teams to score (56%) came in, over 2.5 goals (59%) didn't.
On the day, Augsburg had 56% of the ball to Köln's 44%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 2.22 to 1.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Augsburg and 2.33 for Köln.
Augsburg vs Köln Result & Final Score
Augsburg 1 - 1 Köln in the Germany - Bundesliga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Augsburg vs Köln Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 58%, draw 22%, Köln 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Augsburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.