Bochum 2-2 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 31 Mar 2024

Bochum
2-2 HT 1-0
Darmstadt 98
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bochum vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
26%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.82
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.4
X/1
16%
3.88
X/2
6%
12.2
X/X
12%
6.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.9
2/2
13%
8.62
2/X
6%
16.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.9 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.6pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bochum v Darmstadt 98 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.56/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.89
-9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +41%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
470 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.0 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Bochum vs Darmstadt 98 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
324 Passes 270
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-2 HT 1-1 Bochum Bochum AL1
26.04.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-1 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL2
02.01.2021 Bochum Bochum 2-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
07.03.2020 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL2
28.09.2019 Bochum Bochum 2-2 HT 2-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
21.04.2019 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL2

Bochum 2-2 Darmstadt 98 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
2-2
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.84 xG 0.87
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
340 Passes 234
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
35 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum and Darmstadt 98 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bochum at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bochum had 57% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 43%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.84 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bochum had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bochum and 1.17 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Darmstadt 98?

Bochum 2-2 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - Bundesliga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bochum 54%, draw 22%, Darmstadt 98 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bochum) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bochum) ✓ Over 2.5
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