Sagamihara 2-1 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.55
6+ Goals
11%
14.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -28%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
193 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.06.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-2 HT 3-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JPK
16.10.2021 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
30.05.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 2-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
2-1
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
116 Passes 240
50% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sagamihara edged past Montedio Yamagata 2-1 in the JAP2-3 on 1 Mar 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sagamihara had 42% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 58%, shots finished 11-2.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata lead the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sagamihara and 2.00 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata?

Sagamihara 2-1 Montedio Yamagata in the JAP2-3 on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 28%, draw 23%, Montedio Yamagata 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2-3 More JAP2-3
1 Mar 2026
07:00 Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita Analysis →
07:00 Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori Analysis →
08:00 Tochigi SC vs Yokohama FC Analysis →
08:00 Iwaki vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
08:00 Imabari vs Albirex Niigata Analysis →
08:00 Zweigen Kanazawa vs Kamatamare Sanuki Analysis →