Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Mito HollyHock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.7pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.54/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.10
+24% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -55%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
442 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.2 Crosses 17.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JPK
11.07.2018 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2-2
AWAY Mito HollyHock
1.83 xG 1.53
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
545 Passes 277
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Mito HollyHock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale and Mito HollyHock shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Kawasaki Frontale at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 64% of the ball to Mito HollyHock's 36%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.83 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.00 for Mito HollyHock.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Mito HollyHock?

Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 Mito HollyHock in the Japan - J1 League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Mito HollyHock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 50%, draw 22%, Mito HollyHock 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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