Farense 2-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 1 Mar 2026

Farense
2-1 HT 1-0
Lusitania FC Lourosa
📅01/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Farense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.68
Over
52%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.84
No
43%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.62
2-3
38%
1.7
4-5
23%
3.96
6+
12%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Farense v Lusitania FC Lourosa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Farense The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa The Market 32%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Great
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.50 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.14
1.30 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.83
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
278 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.3 Crosses 12.7
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Farense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.15 xG 1.69
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
202 Passes 212
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.10.2025 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-2 HT 1-2 Farense Farense POR2

Farense 2-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense
2-1
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
1.03 xG 0.62
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 12
145 Passes 204
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Crosses 31
5 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Farense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Farense found just enough to beat Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Farense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (57%) came home.

Under the surface, Lusitania FC Lourosa saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.03 to 0.62.

Farense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Result & Final Score

Farense 2-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Farense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Farense 44%, draw 24%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Farense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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