01/04/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Halesowen Town vs Alvechurch Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
20%
Draw
23%
38%
Away Win
24%
51%
Under 2.5
41%
49%
Over 2.5
59%
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
52%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Halesowen Town v Alvechurch — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Halesowen Town
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Alvechurch
EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% /
-18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
-8%
1.98/1.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.96/1.43
+5%
/
-20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-27%
/
+15%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
390 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
293 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
Halesowen Town vs Alvechurch Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Halesowen Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Alvechurch
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Halesowen Town vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Halesowen Town edged past Alvechurch 1-0.
Our pre-match split (43% / 20% / 38%) promised a tight game; Halesowen Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Halesowen Town vs Alvechurch?
Halesowen Town 1-0 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Halesowen Town vs Alvechurch?
Before kick-off our model rated a Halesowen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Halesowen Town 43%, draw 20%, Alvechurch 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Halesowen Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Halesowen Town)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İNGNLP
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