Alvechurch 0-2 Halesowen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Halesowen Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.77/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.83
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH Alvechurch vs Halesowen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halesowen Town saw off Alvechurch 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Alvechurch at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Alvechurch vs Halesowen Town?

Alvechurch 0-2 Halesowen Town in the England - Non League Premier on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvechurch vs Halesowen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvechurch win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alvechurch 43%, draw 23%, Halesowen Town 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alvechurch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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