Atherton Collieries 1-2 Guiseley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.59
Over 2.5
66%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
57%
Away Win
63%
-6.5pp
34%
Under 2.5
35%
-0.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
65%
+0.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.6pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atherton Collieries EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Guiseley EU Bookmakers 67%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.50/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.62
+48% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
220 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 474 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atherton Collieries
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Guiseley
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2023 Guiseley Guiseley 3-2 HT 3-2 Atherton Collieries Atherton Collieries İNGNLP
10.04.2023 Atherton Collieries Atherton Collieries 2-1 HT 1-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Guiseley Guiseley 3-0 HT 1-0 Atherton Collieries Atherton Collieries İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atherton Collieries
1-2
AWAY Guiseley
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atherton Collieries vs Guiseley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley squeezed past Atherton Collieries 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guiseley as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Atherton Collieries had 54% of the ball to Guiseley's 46%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guiseley led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atherton Collieries and 2.33 for Guiseley.

What was the final score of Atherton Collieries vs Guiseley?

Atherton Collieries 1-2 Guiseley in the England - Non League Premier on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atherton Collieries vs Guiseley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Atherton Collieries 21%, draw 23%, Guiseley 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guiseley), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guiseley) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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