Stourbridge 1-1 Needham Market — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Mar 2024

Stourbridge
1-1 HT 1-1
Needham Market
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Stourbridge vs Needham Market Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
26%
+10.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
48%
-10.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stourbridge v Needham Market — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Needham Market EU Bookmakers 52%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.31/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.91
-1% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0

Stourbridge vs Needham Market Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Needham Market
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.09.2023 Needham Market Needham Market 1-0 HT 0-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
03.12.2022 Stourbridge Stourbridge 0-0 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP
08.10.2022 Needham Market Needham Market 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge FAK
20.08.2022 Needham Market Needham Market 3-1 HT 1-0 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
04.12.2021 Needham Market Needham Market 1-3 HT 0-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge İNGNLP
25.09.2021 Stourbridge Stourbridge 1-1 HT 0-0 Needham Market Needham Market İNGNLP

Stourbridge 1-1 Needham Market — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stourbridge
1-1
AWAY Needham Market
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs Needham Market
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stourbridge and Needham Market couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Stourbridge had 51% of the ball to Needham Market's 49%, shots finished 5-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stourbridge and 1.00 for Needham Market.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Needham Market?

Stourbridge 1-1 Needham Market in the England - Non League Premier on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Needham Market?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 37%, draw 26%, Needham Market 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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