Whitby Town 1-0 Matlock Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Matlock Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.44/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.85
-14% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Whitby Town
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Matlock Town
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
11.03.2023 Whitby Town Whitby Town 4-1 HT 3-0 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
13.08.2022 Matlock Town Matlock Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
12.02.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Matlock Town Matlock Town İNGNLP
06.11.2021 Matlock Town Matlock Town 2-3 HT 1-2 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Whitby Town vs Matlock Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Whitby Town squeezed past Matlock Town 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Whitby Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Whitby Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Whitby Town and 1.50 for Matlock Town.

What was the final score of Whitby Town vs Matlock Town?

Whitby Town 1-0 Matlock Town in the England - Non League Premier on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Whitby Town vs Matlock Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Whitby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Whitby Town 51%, draw 22%, Matlock Town 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Whitby Town), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Whitby Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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