Ashton United 5-0 Lancaster City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Mar 2024

Ashton United
5-0 HT 1-0
Lancaster City
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Ashton United vs Lancaster City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ashton United v Lancaster City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.71/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.46
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.1

Ashton United vs Lancaster City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ashton United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lancaster City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.11.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 2-1 HT 1-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
30.09.2023 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-2 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United FAK
15.04.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 2-4 HT 1-3 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
26.11.2022 Lancaster City Lancaster City 1-0 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
22.01.2022 Ashton United Ashton United 1-0 HT 1-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
25.09.2021 Lancaster City Lancaster City 3-2 HT 1-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP

Ashton United 5-0 Lancaster City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
5-0
AWAY Lancaster City
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Lancaster City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United swept aside Lancaster City 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ashton United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ashton United had 51% of the ball to Lancaster City's 49%, shots finished 18-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lancaster City led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ashton United and 1.67 for Lancaster City.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Lancaster City?

Ashton United 5-0 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Lancaster City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 41%, draw 25%, Lancaster City 34%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashton United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ashton United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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