Long Eaton United 2-2 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.78
Draw
26%
5.15
Away
59%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
16%
+9.6pp
59%
Away Win
74%
-14.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Long Eaton United EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 78%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.11/2.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+13% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
203 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Long Eaton United
2-2
AWAY Leamington
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Long Eaton United vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Long Eaton United and Leamington shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Leamington at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Long Eaton United had 44% of the ball to Leamington's 56%, shots finished 6-6.

What was the final score of Long Eaton United vs Leamington?

Long Eaton United 2-2 Leamington in the England - Non League Premier on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Long Eaton United vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leamington win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Long Eaton United 15%, draw 26%, Leamington 59%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leamington) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leamington) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
5 Mar 2024
22:45 Whitby Town vs Matlock Town Analysis →
22:45 Ashton United vs Lancaster City Analysis →
22:45 United of Manchester vs Rylands Analysis →
22:45 Stourbridge vs Needham Market Analysis →
22:45 Atherton Collieries vs Guiseley Analysis →
22:45 Alvechurch vs Halesowen Town Analysis →