Lancaster City 3-2 Bamber Bridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.8pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lancaster City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bamber Bridge EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
1.07/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.72
-39% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lancaster City
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Bamber Bridge
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-1 HT 0-1 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
10.04.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-1 HT 2-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
26.12.2022 Lancaster City Lancaster City 1-1 HT 0-1 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
18.04.2022 Lancaster City Lancaster City 0-1 HT 0-1 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
27.12.2021 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 2-1 HT 0-0 Lancaster City Lancaster City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lancaster City vs Bamber Bridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lancaster City squeezed past Bamber Bridge 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lancaster City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bamber Bridge led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Lancaster City and 1.60 for Bamber Bridge.

What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Bamber Bridge?

Lancaster City 3-2 Bamber Bridge in the England - Non League Premier on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Bamber Bridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lancaster City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 42%, draw 30%, Bamber Bridge 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lancaster City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lancaster City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
1 Apr 2024
15:00 Needham Market vs AFC Sudbury Analysis →
17:00 Bromsgrove Sporting vs AFC Telford United Analysis →
17:00 Didcot Town vs Swindon Supermarine Analysis →
17:00 Berkhamsted vs Hitchin Town Analysis →
17:00 Hyde United vs Macclesfield Analysis →
17:00 Merthyr Town vs Hungerford Town Analysis →