Merthyr Town 3-0 Hungerford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
30%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.8pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-9.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-3.7pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-25% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.08/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.69/2.45
-29% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / -39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merthyr Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hungerford Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.01.2024 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Merthyr Town vs Hungerford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town ran out comfortable winners over Hungerford Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Merthyr Town made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Hungerford Town?

Merthyr Town 3-0 Hungerford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merthyr Town vs Hungerford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 39%, draw 31%, Hungerford Town 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merthyr Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merthyr Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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