St. Gallen 1-1 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.62
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.63
6+ Goals
15%
6.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.63
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.99
X/2
8%
7.37
X/X
8%
6.02
2/1
6%
20.95
2/2 EV+ ✗
23%
4.51
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 2/2 at 4.51 — our 23% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.64/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.40
+6% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.9 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Luzern
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.58 xG 1.30
55% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
286 Passes 230
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
06.08.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
20.05.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
19.02.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2 HT 1-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
19.10.2022 Luzern Luzern 3-3 HT 2-2 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
13.08.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
1-1
AWAY Luzern
1.32 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
244 Passes 293
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 5
FAQ St. Gallen vs Luzern
Match summary & frequently asked questions

St. Gallen and Luzern shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Switzerland - Super League on 1 Apr 2024. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 59% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, St. Gallen had 46% of the ball to Luzern's 54%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.32 to 1.29.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Gallen and 1.50 for Luzern.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Luzern?

St. Gallen 1-1 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 41%, draw 22%, Luzern 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Gallen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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