Cobreloa 1-3 Universidad Chile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Chile EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.51/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.36
+8% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.3 Crosses 17.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobreloa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Universidad Chile
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
42% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
224 Passes 343
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2018 Cobreloa Cobreloa 2-3 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
08.07.2018 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 2-1 HT 1-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİK
15.10.2015 Cobreloa Cobreloa 0-2 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİLİK
12.04.2015 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 4-0 HT 2-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
28.04.2014 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile 0-4 HT 0-3 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİL
08.12.2013 Cobreloa Cobreloa 2-2 HT 0-0 Universidad Chile Universidad Chile ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cobreloa
1-3
AWAY Universidad Chile
1.08 xG 2.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 4
241 Passes 247
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 34
26 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cobreloa vs Universidad Chile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Chile beat Cobreloa 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cobreloa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cobreloa had 51% of the ball to Universidad Chile's 49%, shots finished 17-23, expected goals 1.08 to 2.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universidad Chile led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cobreloa and 2.17 for Universidad Chile.

What was the final score of Cobreloa vs Universidad Chile?

Cobreloa 1-3 Universidad Chile in the Chile - Premier League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobreloa vs Universidad Chile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobreloa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cobreloa 42%, draw 28%, Universidad Chile 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cobreloa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cobreloa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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