Union Espanola 5-3 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.23/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.04
+33% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.2 Crosses 16.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Espanola
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Nublense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
321 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2023 Nublense Nublense 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
21.01.2023 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-1 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
15.08.2022 Nublense Nublense 1-2 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
22.03.2022 Union Espanola Union Espanola 1-0 HT 1-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
13.11.2021 Nublense Nublense 6-1 HT 3-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
08.08.2021 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-2 HT 2-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Espanola
5-3
AWAY Nublense
3.20 xG 1.34
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
327 Passes 297
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Espanola vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Espanola saw off Nublense 5-3. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Union Espanola found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Union Espanola had 53% of the ball to Nublense's 47%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 3.20 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Espanola had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union Espanola and 1.67 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Union Espanola vs Nublense?

Union Espanola 5-3 Nublense in the Chile - Premier League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Espanola vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Espanola win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Union Espanola 36%, draw 29%, Nublense 35%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Espanola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Espanola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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