Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.44
Over 2.5
32%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.16
No
63%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
13%
6.28
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.55
X/1
10%
5.75
X/2
11%
4.93
X/X
21%
3.28
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.82
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.1pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 40%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
0.98/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.10
-30% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +43%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
22.3 Crosses 18.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Banfield
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 5
04.05.2014 Banfield Banfield 4-0 HT 2-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Rivadavia
1-2
AWAY Banfield
1.04 xG 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
299 Passes 192
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
12 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banfield nicked a narrow win over Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Banfield found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Rivadavia had 56% of the ball to Banfield's 44%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.04 to 1.50.

What was the final score of Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?

Independiente Rivadavia 1-2 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Rivadavia vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Rivadavia win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Independiente Rivadavia 34%, draw 33%, Banfield 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Rivadavia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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