Independiente 1-1 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 Apr 2024

Independiente
1-1 HT 0-1
Atletico Tucuman
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.15
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.3
X/1
11%
3.74
X/2
8%
8.7
X/X
12%
3.87
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
9%
7.91
2/X
7%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.8pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente v Atletico Tucuman — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.40/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.52
-7% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.2 Crosses 14.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.84 xG 0.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
361 Passes 230
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
23.07.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
24.07.2022 Independiente Independiente 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
24.06.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJK
25.08.2021 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
02.05.2021 Independiente Independiente 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ

Independiente 1-1 Atletico Tucuman — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
1-1
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.48 xG 1.07
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
341 Passes 220
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente and Atletico Tucuman couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Independiente had 59% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 41%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.48 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Independiente and 1.00 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman?

Independiente 1-1 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Independiente 50%, draw 28%, Atletico Tucuman 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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