Hillerod 4-0 B93 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.34
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.96 — our 27% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.0
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.45
X/1
14%
4.02
X/2
10%
10.25
X/X
10%
6.52
2/1
8%
19.85
2/2
7%
7.11
2/X
6%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-4.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+13.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-13.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.8pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hillerod EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY B93 Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 23%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.79/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.92
+34% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +148%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
13.0 Crosses 12.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hillerod
1W-0D-2L
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 0.78
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 Passes 434
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag 2-1 Hillerod Hillerod HAZ
06.10.2023 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag 0-3 HT 0-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
15.09.2023 Hillerod Hillerod 0-1 HT 0-0 B93 Kopenhag B93 Kopenhag DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hillerod
4-0
AWAY B93 Kopenhag
2.15 xG 0.53
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
443 Passes 556
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hillerod vs B93 Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hillerod swept aside B93 Kopenhag 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hillerod as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hillerod had 46% of the ball to B93 Kopenhag's 54%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.15 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, B93 Kopenhag led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hillerod and 1.00 for B93 Kopenhag.

What was the final score of Hillerod vs B93 Kopenhag?

Hillerod 4-0 B93 Kopenhag in the Denmark 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hillerod vs B93 Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hillerod 54%, draw 25%, B93 Kopenhag 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hillerod), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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