Emmen 0-3 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 1 Apr 2024

Emmen
0-3 HT 0-2
Groningen
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Emmen vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.23
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
9%
8.04
X/2
20%
4.13
X/X
11%
4.79
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.47
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
49%
Away Win
51%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v Groningen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 55%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.42/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.45
+17% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
348 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
21.7 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.7

Emmen vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Groningen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.02 xG 1.35
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
328 Passes 328
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.10.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
18.02.2023 Groningen Groningen 1-1 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL
30.10.2022 Emmen Emmen 0-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
09.05.2021 Emmen Emmen 0-4 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
13.03.2021 Groningen Groningen 1-1 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL
15.12.2020 Emmen Emmen 2-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOK

Emmen 0-3 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
0-3
AWAY Groningen
1.61 xG 1.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
259 Passes 307
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen cruised past Emmen 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Groningen as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Emmen had 47% of the ball to Groningen's 53%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.61 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Emmen and 1.17 for Groningen.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Groningen?

Emmen 0-3 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Emmen 27%, draw 23%, Groningen 49%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Groningen), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Groningen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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