PSV II 2-3 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 1 Apr 2024

PSV II
2-3 HT 2-2
Roda
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.63
1/2
8%
21.85
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
6%
7.27
X/2
12%
4.9
X/X
7%
5.66
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
21%
2.68
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 50%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -37%
1.35/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.38
+27% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
13.1 Crosses 20.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV II
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Roda
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.89 xG 1.71
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
356 Passes 414
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2023 Roda Roda 2-1 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
03.04.2023 PSV II PSV II 5-1 HT 3-0 Roda Roda HOL2
09.09.2022 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 0-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
18.03.2022 PSV II PSV II 3-3 HT 3-2 Roda Roda HOL2
15.10.2021 Roda Roda 2-2 HT 1-1 PSV II PSV II HOL2
05.02.2021 Roda Roda 5-1 HT 2-0 PSV II PSV II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV II
2-3
AWAY Roda
1.02 xG 1.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
462 Passes 310
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 14
7 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSV II vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda squeezed past PSV II 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 22% / 41% — and on the day Roda made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, PSV II had 57% of the ball to Roda's 43%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.02 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for PSV II and 2.33 for Roda.

What was the final score of PSV II vs Roda?

PSV II 2-3 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV II vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PSV II 36%, draw 22%, Roda 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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