Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-4 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
41%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.9
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.03
6+ Goals
11%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 33% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
41%
Away Win
49%
-7.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 53%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.14/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.26
+4% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Katowice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2023 Katowice Katowice 0-1 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
25.02.2023 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-1 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
06.08.2022 Katowice Katowice 3-1 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
04.03.2022 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-1 HT 0-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
22.08.2021 Katowice Katowice 3-2 HT 0-2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL1
29.11.2015 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-1 HT 0-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0-4
AWAY Katowice
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 14
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Katowice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice swept aside Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Katowice as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 38% of the ball to Katowice's 62%, shots finished 3-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zaglebie Sosnowiec and 1.50 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Katowice?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-4 Katowice in the Poland - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 30%, draw 29%, Katowice 41%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katowice), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katowice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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