Znicz Pruszkow 0-0 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒13:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 31%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.51/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.81
-67% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +79%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
42% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-1 HT 0-1 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
11.03.2023 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-0 HT 1-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL2
11.08.2022 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
0-0
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Znicz Pruszkow vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Znicz Pruszkow and Polonia Warszawa fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Znicz Pruszkow at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Znicz Pruszkow had 43% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 57%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Znicz Pruszkow had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Znicz Pruszkow and 0.33 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Znicz Pruszkow 0-0 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Znicz Pruszkow win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 44%, draw 28%, Polonia Warszawa 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Znicz Pruszkow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Znicz Pruszkow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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