Sporting Braga U23 1-2 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.0pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 25%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+7% / +136% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Santa Clara U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2024 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 1-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga U23
1-2
AWAY Santa Clara U23
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 11
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 edged past Sporting Braga U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga U23 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Braga U23 had 59% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 41%, shots finished 9-21.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Sporting Braga U23 1-2 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga U23 47%, draw 29%, Santa Clara U23 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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