Santa Clara U23 1-2 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
17%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -50%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
1-2
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 nicked a narrow win over Santa Clara U23 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sporting Braga U23 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 49% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 51%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Santa Clara U23 1-2 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 38%, draw 23%, Sporting Braga U23 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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