Portimonense U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +101%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-1
AWAY Rio Ave U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 and Rio Ave U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Portimonense U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 55% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 45%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Portimonense U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 41%, draw 29%, Rio Ave U23 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portimonense U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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