Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 Apr 2024

Al Ahli Jeddah
1-0 HT 1-0
Al Ittihad-Jeddah
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli Jeddah v Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +23%
1.60/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.66
-1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.8 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.03 xG 1.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
344 Passes 361
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
26.02.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-4 HT 1-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
01.10.2021 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
11.02.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
31.10.2020 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
09.08.2020 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD

Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1-0
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.75 xG 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
377 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah nicked a narrow win over Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 54% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 46%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.75 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.67 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 44%, draw 24%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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