Al Raed 0-1 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 1 Apr 2024

Al Raed
0-1 HT 0-1
Al Khaleej
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Al Raed vs Al Khaleej Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Raed v Al Khaleej — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 29%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +12%
2.01/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.27
+18% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 79%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
16.6 Crosses 17.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Al Raed vs Al Khaleej Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.40 xG 1.04
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
324 Passes 269
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
27.05.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
20.01.2023 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
04.05.2017 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
02.11.2015 Al Raed Al Raed 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
18.04.2015 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD

Al Raed 0-1 Al Khaleej — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
0-1
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.05 xG 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
326 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 5
29 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej squeezed past Al Raed 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Raed at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Raed had 56% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 44%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.05 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Khaleej led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Raed and 1.50 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Khaleej?

Al Raed 0-1 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Raed win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 42%, draw 26%, Al Khaleej 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Raed) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Raed) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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