Stockport County 3-0 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.11
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.65
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.6
X/1
16%
4.13
X/2
10%
8.14
X/X
15%
3.92
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
11%
7.37
2/X
7%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.60/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.05
+5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
283 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 68%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.0 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Stevenage
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.79 xG 1.13
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
245 Passes 173
67% Pass Accuracy 60%
13 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 2-1 HT 1-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
18.02.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 2-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
06.08.2022 Stevenage Stevenage 2-1 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
09.04.2011 Stockport County Stockport County 2-2 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
21.08.2010 Stevenage Stevenage 3-1 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
3-0
AWAY Stevenage
1.88 xG 1.24
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
283 Passes 281
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County ran out comfortable winners over Stevenage 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Stockport County had 49% of the ball to Stevenage's 51%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.88 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Stevenage led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Stockport County and 1.80 for Stevenage.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Stevenage?

Stockport County 3-0 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 43%, draw 30%, Stevenage 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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