Stevenage 2-1 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.64
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
10%
5.74
X/2
12%
4.91
X/X
13%
3.64
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.72
2/X
9%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
0.96/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.20
-5% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
240 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 67%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.2 Crosses 19.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Stockport County
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 0.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
168 Passes 248
58% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 2-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
06.08.2022 Stevenage Stevenage 2-1 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
09.04.2011 Stockport County Stockport County 2-2 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
21.08.2010 Stevenage Stevenage 3-1 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
2-1
AWAY Stockport County
1.16 xG 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
182 Passes 241
63% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage nicked a narrow win over Stockport County 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Stevenage made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stevenage had 45% of the ball to Stockport County's 55%, shots finished 7-8, expected goals 1.16 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Stevenage and 1.50 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Stockport County?

Stevenage 2-1 Stockport County in the England - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 39%, draw 28%, Stockport County 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stevenage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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