Bolton Wanderers 0-2 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.07
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
13%
4.0
X/2
8%
8.98
X/X
8%
5.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.3
2/2
14%
7.1
2/X
9%
15.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.71/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.42
+16% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 68%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.7 Crosses 15.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.97 xG 1.14
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
358 Passes 220
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.02.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
19.08.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-3 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
02.04.2022 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
16.10.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
24.08.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNLK
16.03.2019 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 5-2 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
0-2
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.14 xG 2.71
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
314 Passes 135
76% Pass Accuracy 60%
19 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic got the better of Bolton Wanderers 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bolton Wanderers at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 64% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 36%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.14 to 2.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 2.50 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Wigan Athletic?

Bolton Wanderers 0-2 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 50%, draw 23%, Wigan Athletic 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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